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Currency correlation measures the statistical relationship between the movements of two currency pairs. As per general market understanding, the correlation coefficient generally ranges from -1 to +1.
Let’s understand what positive and negative currency correlation indicate:
| Currency Correlation: +1 | Currency Correlation: 0 | Currency Correlation: -1 |
| Indicates that the two pairs move in the same direction. | Shows that there is no linear relationship in the measured data. | Indicates that the two pairs tend to move in opposite directions. |
For example,
However, the relationship is not fixed. It can change with the measurement period, market conditions, monetary policy, and other factors.
Several traders analyse “correlation” to first assess their portfolio concentration and then hedge relationships. Usually,
Therefore, correlation is largely treated as a historical statistical relationship. It is not a trading signal or causal relationship.
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